The Knowledge to Decide

The Philippines is emerging as one of Asia’s most dynamic economies, with a forecasted growth rate of 6.9 per cent in 2018 driven by investment and private consumption. The economy recorded growth of over 6 per cent in 2017, for the sixth straight year, thanks to buoyant government spending, exports and a recovery in the agricultural sector. Will this Southeast Asian tiger be able to maintain its momentum? A growing economy While advanced economies like the United States, Europe and Japan are growing at slow rate, a number of emerging economies like the Philippines continue to surge ahead. With annual growth expected to reach 6.9 per cent by 2018, the Philippines now ranks as the 10th fastest growing economy globally. Owing to strong domestic demand and government projects, the country’s economy is on the rise. The government’s expansionary fiscal policy has aided capital formation and credit growth, whereas low inflation has strengthened private consumption. Path

When the African Union (AU) launched the Single African Air Transport Market (SAATM) in January this year, it finally opened up Africa’s skies. 23 signatories on board, though another 32 AU members are yet to sign on. SAATM’s launch is a part of AU’s Africa 2063 project, which is a commitment to intra-continent development. If a common regulatory framework is put into place, this could benefit intra-continental travelers immensely, thus boosting commerce and tourism flows among African countries. Will Africa become the world’s next big aviation market? For more information, click here . 

On the morning of 24 April, 2015 a powerful earthquake of magnitude 7.8 on the Richter scale rocked Nepal. With 8 million people affected and more than 4,000 feared dead, the estimated cost of reconstruction is more than USD5 billion. The scale of devastation is bound to have an economic impact on one of the poorest countries in the world, affecting industries as diverse as tourism, energy, agriculture and infrastructure. What will it take to get Nepal back on track? The level of devastation The damage wrought by the earthquake was felt across the breadth ot this small country. It damaged buildings in the capital city of Kathmandu. As a result of the many aftershocks, buildings and temples collapsed, with roads splitting wide open due to cracks. Heritage sites such as Kathmandu’s Dharahara Tower (known as Bhimsen tower) – a 19th century structure with nine floors – collapsed, with at least 50 people stuck in the rubble. Dozens of historical buildings, monuments and temples

A boom in Halal tourism and a conscious effort to eat healthier has helped to lift Halal product revenues. The appeal of Halal products is broadening to some groups of non-Muslim consumers. Will the Halal market keep on expanding in the Gulf region? Saurabh Sharma, Country Director, India for Spire Research and Consulting, shared his insights in the Food & Beverage News magazine. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), with its six-member country states, makes up a significant and rising share of the global Halal product market, which is estimated to reach USD1.9 trillion by 2021. The Halal market initially focused on food and beverages products but now rapid expansion is visible in cosmetics, pharmaceutical and personal care sectors. The drivers of growth in the Halal food market include the trend towards a protein-rich diet in countries seeing a rising middle-class, advances in food technology, Halal tourism and the emergence of new online marketplaces. Saurabh

Prime Minister Narendra Modi recently moved ahead to demonetize high-value currencies in November 2016 in a calculated approach to eradicate black money from the country. INR500 and INR1,000 notes became invalid – these account for 86% of currency in circulation. Amidst the immediate effect on consumption, sectors incurring major setbacks include real estate, construction, jewelry, high-end retail, travel and tourism. However, the long-term economic benefits include higher tax revenues that will create a better business environment with higher transparency and minimized corruption. Banks will see large inflows. Inflation may trend lower leading to drop in interest rates. Are there unforeseen ramifications of demonetization in India? https://www.spireresearch.com/newsroom/spirethoughts/demonetization-in-india/

Right now, five out of the world’s top 10 travel destinations are cities in the Asia Pacific. But it is widely acknowledged that the region punches well below its weight in tourism, which is why there is plenty of room for growth. How will Asia’s tourism industry evolve? Travel sector looks upbeat for Asia-Pacific region? According to a study conducted in 2013, the year was good for international tourism and strongest for destinations in the Asia Pacific region – Asia saw six per cent growth. Moreover, the number of international tourists increased by 14 million to reach 248 million. South-East Asia (as a sub-region of the Asia-Pacific) registered a 10 per cent increase. China emerged with a record number of international tourist arrivals in 2013, at 55.69 million. Asia’s tourism industry employs 65 million people and supports one in 12 jobs – exceeding industries such as financial services. Needless to say, this growth also led to the generation of 1 million new jobs a